Imagine this: it’s spring training, the sun is shining, and suddenly, a blockbuster trade shakes the baseball world. Sounds unlikely, right? Well, think again. History has shown us that even the most unexpected deals can happen during this time of year, and 2026 might just be the season that defies all odds. But here’s where it gets controversial—could we see a monster trade in the next six weeks? Don’t dismiss the idea just yet.
Every year, we survey MLB insiders—executives, former executives, managers, coaches, and scouts—to get their take on the players most likely to be traded during spring training. This year, we polled 36 experts, and the results were jaw-dropping. They threw out 28 names, the highest number in the history of this survey. That’s right—28 players who could be on the move. And this is the part most people miss: the chatter isn’t just speculation; it’s backed by serious conversations already happening behind closed doors.
So, who’s at the top of the list? Let’s dive in.
CJ Abrams leads the pack with 7 votes. At just 25, this former All-Star shortstop with three years of team control is more than just a rumor. The Nationals and Giants were deep in talks this winter, involving some of San Francisco’s top prospects. While the deal fell through, one National League exec warned, ‘Anybody on the Nationals could get traded.’ And an American League exec confirmed, ‘Those talks had legs.’ Could Abrams still be on the move? It’s hard to rule out, especially when the Nationals are laser-focused on building the No. 1-ranked farm system.
Sandy Alcantara isn’t far behind with 6 votes. The Marlins’ ace has been the subject of endless trade rumors, but will this be the year one finally sticks? One exec noted, ‘They’re open for business,’ but with a $21 million club option for 2027 and a strong second half last season, Miami might wait for the trade deadline. Or will they? A rival exec hinted that the Marlins’ deep rotation prospects could push them to act sooner rather than later. But here’s the catch: the price tag is sky-high, and Cy Young-level expectations come with it.
Isaac Paredes is another name to watch, with 4 votes. The Astros’ infield situation is a mess, and insiders believe they’re feeling the heat to make a move. One exec whose team is hunting for infield bats said, ‘That’s going to be a tough situation to manage if everyone is healthy.’ Could Paredes be the first domino to fall?
Other names like Lars Nootbaar, Tarik Skubal, and Joe Ryan also made the list, each with 3 votes. Skubal, in particular, is an intriguing case. Fresh off a historic arbitration win, he’s on track for a massive free-agent contract next winter. But will it be in Detroit? One AL Central exec quipped, ‘I’ll believe it when I see it, but… never say never.’
And let’s not forget the usual suspects: Byron Buxton, Pablo López, Nico Hoerner, and more, each with a vote or two. Last spring, it was Mark Canha who surprised everyone. So, who’s next?
But here’s the real question: Are these insiders onto something, or are they just stirring the pot? Could we see a spring training trade that reshapes the league? Or will teams play it safe and wait for the deadline? One thing’s for sure—in baseball, anything can happen. So, what do you think? Are these predictions spot on, or way off base? Let’s hear your take in the comments!
